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Tuesday, August 02, 2005 

A Little Chinese Fortune Cookie…

Well, there is good news and bad news… Which do you want first?

How about the good:
CNOOC Withdraws $18.5-Billion Bid for Unocal (LA Times)
I am not an economist, nor am I an expert in foreign trade. But to me, this seemed like a no-brainer. To allow a potential enemy, and a rival military power with decelerated and documented remarks about the downfall of our country, I don’t think it would be great idea to give them ANY control over our potential oil supply. So we cleared this one.

Now the Bad:
China and Russia joint exercises to strengthen ties (Financial Times)
“Nearly 10,000 troops are to take part in unprecedented joint military exercises by China and Russia this month aimed at strengthening ties between the armed forces of two powers that were once bitter foes.”

I have posted about this before, but lets take a quick trip into the future. N. Korea decides it is in its best interests to join governments with China, since it cannot support itself. Russia and China form a strategic partnership, and Russia agrees to allow China to exploit the huge natural resource buffet in Siberia (Russia gets a lot of hard cash for this, and they need it). Now, the former heart of the USSR has a strategic alliance with the last bastion of communism, and has increased its military capabilities tenfold.

The two nations go to the UN, and call for a resolution to force Taiwan back into Chinese hands. America of course veto’s, and China then claims its right as a sovereign nation to do what it pleases (citing earlier US actions in Iraq).

Once they decimate Taiwan, and keep the US at bay because we cannot risk the insane nuclear war that would ensue, the new “Mongolian Alliance” (Russia, China, N. Korea, and Taiwan) intimidate Japan and S. Korea into signing binding “peace agreements” that make them essentially protectorates of the Mongolian Alliance.

NATO is essentially ineffective due to incessant bickering over US policy, and the struggle to get an EU constitution ratified, and the US does not have the military resources to defy this action alone.

So dies the spread of democracy.

The US evolves into an ultra-xenophobic nation, and new cold war ensues.

Scary, but very possible…